Thursday, March 6, 2008

Rules Committee looks good for Clinton

Things don't look great for Obama with the Rules Committee, if it comes down to it -- the count is about 14 to 9 of Clinton's supporters on the committee versus his.

Below is a list of all DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee members, organized by whether I think they will back Clinton or Obama in a rules fight. Some are in a column because of their general stances on seating these delegates -- Brazile has been very strongly against it, although she hasn't endorsed Obama, and I assume the Florida and Michigan members will be in favor of seating, which is why Allan Katz and Mark Brewer are in the Clinton line (even though Katz has endorsed Obama). Most, though, are just pulled from the Times' superdelegate count.

Of course, the remaining 9 undecided could swing it. And there's no telling how many of Clinton's endorsers were those early, automatic endorsers who may well be reconsidering now. But still, it doesn't seem far-fetched for the Rules Committee to reverse itself, if Clinton really twists some arms.

Clinton Obama Unknown
Harold Ickes Donna Brazile Alexis Herman
Donald Fowler Carol Khare Fowler James Roosevelt
Allan Katz Janice Griffin Ralph Dawson
Elizabeth Smith Thomas Hynes Alice Germond
Mark Brewer Sharon Stroschein Jaime Gonzalez
Hartina Flournoy Everett Ward David McDonald
Alice Huffman Sarah Swisher Jerome Segovia
Ben Johnson Martha Clark Yvonne Gates
Elaine Kamarck

Eric Kleinfeld

Monica Pasquil

Mame Reiley

Garry Shay

Michael Steed

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