Saturday, March 15, 2008

What Can Clinton Win?

Hopefully, previous posts have shown pretty conclusively that Clinton cannot hope to win the total delegate count, with or without Florida and Michigan. She also can't win more states than Obama. Of the standard measures, that leaves popular vote. But Max Fletcher has a very convincing analysis that shows Clinton really has no hope of catching Obama in that either. Note that that analysis is pre-Mississippi, and actually underestimates Obama's victory by 50,000 votes.

So Clinton will be down in states, delegates, and votes. How, exactly, is she supposed to win the nomination?

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