The fabled "leaked spreadsheet" predicts that Obama is going to pick up another 208 delegates over the coming contests. While it was off by one delegate in Pennsylvania, let's take it to be fairly accurate for the time being -- let's round down, and say Obama will pick up 200 more delegates from these contests. Demconwatch has Obama at 1727 total delegates right now. With another 200, he's at 1927, or 98 delegates away from the nomination. Let's say 100. There are still over 22 add-on delegates from states that Obama won that select their add-ons at the state-level convention (where Obama supporters will be in control). This is only counting 1 delegate from each such state: for instance, I'm only counting 1 add-on from Virginia, even though it has 2.
All this is to say that, if Obama gets 80 more non-add-on superdelegate endorsements, the add-ons alone will almost certainly put him over the top. It may take until June 21st, when Nebraska picks its add-on, but as soon as 80 more come in, it's a done deal.
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